"
Michael Nygard:
I fear that Java will have to be abandoned to the "Enterprise Development" world. It will be relegated to the hands of cut-rate business coders bashing out their gray business applications for $30 / hour. We've passed the tipping point on this one. We used to joke that Java would be the next COBOL, but that doesn't seem as funny now that it's true. Java will continue to exist. Millions of lines of it will be written each year. It won't be the driver of innovation, though. As individual programmers, I'd recommend that you learn another language immediately and differentiate yourself from the hordes of low-skill, low-rent outsource coders that will service the mainstream Java consumer.
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事实确实向这个方向发展：极低的入行门槛，自寻死路的恶性竞争，脱离应用而一无是处依赖性，更新换代的不可持续发展。
发动机都有了，要蒸汽机还有什么用？
